Will the Switch 2 Outperform the PS5 and PS4 Combined?
Switch 2 Outperform The PS5 And PS4 — or at least, that’s what Nintendo’s boldly claiming. According to its latest financial report, Nintendo expects to sell 15 million Switch 2 units by the end of this financial year — and that’s without even having a full 12 months to do it.
Sounds wild, right? But if they pull it off, Switch 2’s launch could go down as one of the biggest in console history.
Nintendo’s 15 Million Unit Prediction (Yes, Already)
The original Switch moved 14.86 million units in its first year — a beast of a debut. But Nintendo is gunning even higher with the Switch 2. The crazy part? That 15 million target only counts units sold between June 5, 2025, and March 31, 2026.
So, less than a year to outsell the combined launch-year numbers of both the PS4 and PS5. Bold move, Nintendo.
PS5 and PS4? Great. But Not This Fast.
Let’s break it down. The PS5 launched in late 2020 and only had about four months to wrap up its first fiscal year. Same with the PS4. But even when both consoles were given a full 12 months, neither managed to cross the 15 million mark.
Now Nintendo’s basically saying, “We got this — and we’ll do it faster.”
Massive Demand, Limited Supply
Want proof that hype is already real? Over 2.2 million Japanese fans signed up just for pre-order invites. That’s not even confirmed sales — that’s just people hoping to get a shot at buying one.
In the US, pre-orders got messy fast. If you tried to get one, you probably know the pain. Nintendo has already admitted it's underestimating demand, which means sellouts are going to be the norm for a while.
What Makes the Switch 2 So Desirable?
Aside from the nostalgia and Nintendo magic, the Switch 2 is shaping up to be a true next-gen hybrid — with beefier specs, faster load times, upgraded Joy-Cons, and (hopefully) a more powerful docked experience.
And if even half of the rumored exclusive titles hit in the first year? It’s game over for the competition.
The Bottom Line
Nintendo’s bet is clear: they believe the Switch 2 can outlaunch and outsell Sony’s two biggest consoles — and they're backing it with hard numbers.
Will they actually pull it off? We’ll find out fast. But if you're hoping to grab one at launch, you’d better be ready — because it’s already looking like next-gen chaos.
